International Leaders Face the Trump Check


His strategy to world relations is already placing leaders in a troublesome place.

Donald Trump stands during his press conference between the silhouettes of two men in the crowd
Scott Olson / Getty

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In a information convention as we speak, President-Elect Donald Trump previewed his second-term strategy to international coverage. One theme was drive: He didn’t rule out utilizing the army to grab the Panama Canal or to amass Greenland, and floated the thought of using “financial drive” to compel Canada to function as an American state. A few of his concepts appear largely symbolic; at one level, he instructed renaming the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America. However these statements additionally fall into what my colleague David Frum has referred to as a zero-sum perspective towards the remainder of the world. Both a international nation is with Donald Trump—and able to collaborate with American pursuits—or it’s towards him.

Trump’s transactional outlook has put international leaders in a troublesome place—together with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who introduced his resignation yesterday. Trump has threatened in current months to impose 25 % tariffs on Canada, and he’s relished taunting the nation, repeatedly making feedback about Canada becoming a member of the US, together with calling the prime minister “Governor Trudeau.” Virtually instantly after Trudeau introduced his resolution yesterday, Trump wrote on Reality Social that the Canadian prime minister was stepping down as a result of “many individuals in Canada LOVE being the 51st State,” and instructed that Trudeau had resigned in direct response to the specter of tariffs.

Trump is tying himself extra to Trudeau’s resignation than he ought to. The prime minister’s downfall was rooted in components which have bedeviled him for years: Canada has suffered from excessive inflation and value of residing, and Trudeau has additionally confronted backlash over immigration. And although the primary few years of Trudeau’s time period got here with progressive coverage wins (and worldwide superstar), it additionally produced a sequence of moral and private scandals. His approval scores have tanked in current months.

Trudeau’s makes an attempt to remain on good phrases with Trump, together with by visiting him at Mar-a-Lago, appeared to contribute to the notion amongst some on his employees that he was not geared up to deal with a second Trump time period. In a pointed resignation letter, Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland stated that she was “at odds” along with her boss over one of the simplest ways ahead, arguing that Canada wanted to take Trump’s threats extra critically and never resort to “political gimmicks.” Freeland’s resignation, which got here as a shock, solely hastened the prime minister’s downward trajectory; by this month, a lot of his allies have been pushing him to step down. He’ll stay in workplace till a brand new social gathering chief is chosen later this yr.

In Trump’s first time period, Trudeau managed to border himself as a progressive foil to Trump. The leaders had some open variations, and Trump did impose some tariffs on the time, a narrower set than what he’s threatening now. However Trump’s coverage agenda, particularly in the beginning of his time period, was much less about antagonizing allies than it was about home and culture-war points (and shortly after he began specializing in tariffs, the coronavirus pandemic derailed the whole lot else). However the strategy Trump appears to be taking in his subsequent time period posed a brand new problem for Trudeau. If Trudeau’s “home political place had been just a bit bit stronger,” David wrote to me in an electronic mail, “he might need tried to gamble on a confrontational coverage—unhealthy for the Canadian economic system, sure, however good for his personal survival.” President Claudia Sheinbaum of Mexico appears to be navigating an identical dilemma; she first threatened counter-tariffs in response to Trump’s warnings, then appeared to stroll this again, stating that there was no chance of a tariff battle with America.

Trump is happy with Trudeau’s demise proper now. However in actuality, the president-elect is making it more durable for the U.S. to work productively with Canada sooner or later. Cooperating carefully with the Trump administration could now grow to be a political legal responsibility in Canada, David predicted, and Trudeau’s Liberal Celebration will search to embarrass any future Conservative authorities that will get too near Trump. In the end, David warned, Trump is taking part in a “harmful recreation.”

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Stephanie Bai contributed to this article.

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